As always happens following a big national election, the major political party that loses โ or is perceived to have underperformed so badly they look like losersย โ goes through a bout of recrimination and infighting.
That's where Republicans are right now, having spectacularly underperformed in the Nov. 8 elections and, in the process, making Joe Biden look stronger and more confident than he has a right to be.
The infighting has centered on whether the GOP has a Donald Trump problem. There are plenty of signs it does. Whether that means the election results see the credible and lasting rise of Trump alternatives for 2024 is an open question. But for those who want some numbers to go along with their speculation, here are a couple of items to considerโฆ.
First, polling data from the Republican firm Echelon Insights asked whether Trump should run again in 2024. Fifty-six percent of respondents said โno.โ Biden fared worse, with 59% saying he should not run again.
But 63% of Republicans said they would vote for him in the primaries. Remember โ this is pre-election โ so the numbers may have changed. Even so, the default position of voters, not pundits, on Team Red is for Trump.
If he runs. What if he doesn't? There's no shortage of would-be Republican candidates. But only one, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, stands out. Absent Trump, DeSantis gets a commanding 51% support in a hypothetical presidential primary run. No one is even close โ former VP Mike Pence finished second in the pollโฆat eight percent.
Based on this very preliminary and arguably highly variable data, the GOP presidential nomination could be wide open. But let's add another data point from the site Election Betting Odds. Here, DeSantis leads Trump, having overtaken the former president since Election Day.
On the Democratic sideโฆJoe Biden's odds of getting the nomination have skyrocketed since the election. But keep an eye on the second-place finisher: โother.โ Biden's stock may be up among betters right now. But it's not a safe bet.
The opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the positions ofย American Liberty News.
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6 Comments
Midterm fizzle:
o No United GOP
o Early voting
o Censorship
o Rerun 2020 semi
o adopt, adapt to Dem voting methods
o to appease DC DNC RNC Estd
o Dated blood in RNC
Or Lose 2024
Dilemma? Easy question for me to answer for them. Stop wallowing in dilemma and get to work, hard work with an IRON FIST,,,for a BIG CHANGE!
Here is the failure of conservative voters. We have a tried-and-true candidate who made positive changes to our economy and culture while being attacked by the opposition with all they could deliver. Trump triumphed and came back for more. Those who don’t like the infighting and the political rift being caused by Trump’s persona are selfish and ignorant. They want peaceful politics, but what they don’t see is that by giving into the swamp we are offering up our freedoms. The People will speak and what they choose will make the path where we follow, or we lead.
Great post. I agree 100%.
We’ve bigger problems than whether Trump should run again or not. There was still a significant amount of the very same shenanigans going on this election as during 2020. The Media ignores it, but a lot of Americans are speaking up about the manipulation being perpetrated by the Democrats. Until that’s addressed and corrected, the outcomes will remain highly suspect.
Mail In Ballots, Early Elections and Late Ballot Drops are just part of the lack of Security in our Electoral Process.