Via Ammoland by F Riehl
A new study by John Lott (CrimeResearch.org) and John Moody has found that concealed carry laws may reduce murder rates in the long run. The study, which was published in the journal Economic Inquiry, found that the effect of concealed carry laws on murder rates takes time to manifest but that it isย negativeย and statistically significant in the following years. When you read โnegative,โ understand that means concealed carry is reducing the murder rate.
Estimating The Effect Of Concealed Carry Laws On Murder: A Response To Bondy et al. Carlisle Moody & John R. Lott
The study was conducted using a sample of all 50 states from 1970 to 2018. The researchers controlled for a variety of factors that could affect murder rates, such as the unemployment rate, the poverty rate, and the incarceration rate.
The researchers found that the effect of concealed carry laws on murder rates is heterogeneous. This means that the effect of these laws may vary depending on the state or the type of law. For example, the study found that constitutional carry laws, which allow people to carry guns without a permit, may have a largereffect on murder rates than right-to-carry laws, which require people to obtain a permit (aka permission slips) to carry guns.
Lott and Moody write: โWe find that the effect of right-to-carry laws on murder is negative but not significantly different from zero in the year of adoption. However, the effect becomes negative and statistically significant in the following years. This suggests that it takes time for people to get permits and start carrying guns, and that it takes time for the effects of this to be felt on crime rates.โ
The news studyโs findings are important because they suggest that concealed carry laws, and in particular constitutional carry, may be an effective way to reduce murder rates.
As expected, the study by Lott and Moody has been criticized by anti-gun researchers, who argue that the findings are not statistically significant and that the study does not adequately control for other factors that could affect murder rates. For example, the controversial study by Bondy et al. found that concealed carry laws are actually associated with an increase in murder rates.
Bondy et al. write: โOur results suggest that right-to-carry laws are associated with an increase in homicide rates. This is contrary to the findings of Lott and Moody, but it is consistent with other recent studies.โ
The findings in the Lott & Moody Study contradict the findings of other studies that conveniently found that concealed carry laws are associated with an increase in murder rates.
The studyโs authors acknowledge that more research is needed to confirm their findings. However, they believe that their study provides strong evidence that concealed carry laws may be an effective way to reduce murder rates.
The studyโs findings are likely to be met with mixed reactions. Some people will welcome the findings, while others will be critical of them. However, the findings are an important contribution to the debate over the effects of concealed carry laws.
The study by Lott and Moody is the first to find a long-term effect of concealed carry laws reducing murder rates. This finding is significant, and it should be considered by policymakers who are considering the adoption of these laws.
Estimating the Effect of Concealed Carry Laws on Murder a Response to Bondy, Et Al Carlisle Moody John R. Lโฆ
Read in its entirety at Ammoland.com.
5 Comments
Awesome lets adopt nationwide
such con foooosing writing, Constitutional carry Reduces crime because the cowards who commit the crimes are afraid of Armed citizens killing them, and rightly they should be,…. for Instance my .357 158 grJSP will cut a man nearly in half, no Organs need be hit, the temporary wound channel is over three inches wide,….whereas a 9 nine goes through and the wound closes behind unless hollow points are used, then you nearly always need to hit a vital organ,
You didnโt read it friend, it said it MAY have an effect, more research is necessary, also said this is the ONLY study to find even thatโฆ and that there are countless studies that find the opposite. And forget that our country โฆ already the most armed in the world. Also has the highest murder rate amongst first world countries. ๐คฆ๐ผโโ๏ธ. You people are incorrigible.
YEAH, but, statistics broken down shows the White American murder rate is equal to Finland’s murder rate the lowest in the world. We are not incorrigible just not idiots.
Brilliant notion! Keep the bad guys on the muzzle end while the good guys control the trigger end! Put another way, DeSantis cited a poster warning illegal aliens if “you loot, we shoot.” More than half the United States already use the tactic when dealing with the horrendous crimes ushered in by our CIC (Coprolite in Chief).