An influential private equity chief based in Hong Kong, Weijian Shan,ย whose group PAG manages more than $50 billion, and who normally backs Chinese leader Xi Jinping, blames the Chinese government for creating a โdeep economic crisisโ comparable to the global financial crash of 2008.
Shan also says China's โpopular discontent' is at its highest point in the past three decades. (RELATED: China's Ukraine Reaction Putting Its Citizens at Risk)
In a recent recording of a meeting with brokers obtained by theย Financial Timesย (FT), Shanย said his fund had diversified away from China and was being โextremely carefulโ about its portfolio in the country.
Shan, ordinarily a public supporter of Xi's tough policies, apparently broke ranks over Xi's recent draconian COVID lockdowns.
FT notes that โShan is one of the most high-profile veteran financiers in Hong Kong and mainland China. He founded PAG in 2010. He was previously co-managing partner of private equity group TPG Capital Asia and led JPMorgan's China team.โ
According to FT,ย Shan said:
We think the Chinese economy at this moment is in the worst shape in the past 30 years. The market sentiment towards Chinese stocks is also at the lowest point in the past 30 years. I also think popular discontent in China is at the highest point in the past 30 years.
His mentioning of high levels of โpopular discontent' is particularly noteworthy.
Reutersย notes thatย Shan has publicly backed China's crackdowns in Hong Kong and Xinjiang.
So when a trained economist like him says that โpopular discontent in China is at the highest point in the past 30 years,โ as the Financial Times reported, and warns of an economic crash, Chinese people inclined to discount foreign critics might take him more seriously.
In the video, Shan said that large parts of the Chinese economy, including its financial center Shanghai, had been โsemi-paralyzedโ by โdraconianโ zero-COVID policies and that the impact on the economy would be โprofound.โ (RELATED: China Using Drones to Enforce Indefinite Pandemic Restrictions)
China's zero-COVID policy, which has led to a five-week lockdown of Shanghai, has contributed to a sharp sell-off in Chinese stocks.
โChina feels to us like the US and Europe in 2008,โ Shan added. โWhile we remain long-term confident in China's growth and market potentials, we are very cautious towards China markets.โ
Reuters has more on Shan and why his opinion carries a significant amount of weight in Beijing,ย here.
In aย podcastย with Breakingviews in 2019, Shan warned about Chinese hubris, noting that skepticism of Beijing's triumphal narrative is evident in the financial markets, which don't reflect the rosy picture presented by China's leaders.
READ NEXT: While Investors Ditch China, Russia Hints at Invasions Beyond Ukraine >>
The opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the positions ofย American Liberty News.
1 Comment
What it will take is a lot of “popular discontent” before anything positive happens in China. It was just a little over 30 years ago, similar discontent, and they massacred enough people to end that. I’m sure they will come up with a zero tolerance answer this time too. What China could have been will always be their legacy. The people deserve better than their authoritarian rulers who continue to subdue them at every turn.